Anger over China’s decision to violate the sovereign airspace of dozens of countries and scour the globe with a fleet of surveillance balloons is giving way in Washington to larger concerns about Beijing’s behavior.
At the Pentagon, senior American defense officials warn the Chinese military’s refusal to talk following the decision by the US to shoot down the latest airship is, in some ways, more alarming than the surveillance itself.
“That’s really dangerous,” Ely Ratner, the assistant secretary of defense for Indo-Pacific security affairs, told lawmakers on Thursday.
“We continue to have an outstretched hand. Unfortunately, to date, the PLA [People’s Liberation Army] is not answering that call,” he added.
Concern at the Pentagon has been growing for months, from the secretary of defense on down, with officials increasingly ready to go on the record to discuss the repeated reluctance of their Chinese counterparts to make sure there are lines of communication that can be used in case of a crisis.
Just last month, American diplomatic sources said China rejected talks following an unsafe air encounter involving Chinese and US aircraft over the South China Sea.
And a meeting in November between US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin and Chinese Defense Minister Wei Fenghe also failed to persuade the PLA to establish channels in which to communicate in an emergency.
“Over the past several months the PLA has continued to view the [military to military] relationship as something that they turn on and off to express displeasure with other things that are happening,” Ratner told the US Senate Foreign Relations Committee.
“We need to communicate our priorities … Our militaries need to be having serious conversations about strategic issues. It remains a problem,” he added.
US defense officials have said America’s partners and allies are also growing frustrated with Beijing’s refusal to find ways to communicate during potential crises. They also pointed out that other countries in the region have voiced concern as well.
“The key point here is that responsible nations act responsibly,” Pentagon Press Secretary Brigadier General Patrick Ryder told reporters on Wednesday when asked about the communication issues.
“We have always been and will remain open to communication to try to prevent miscalculation. We’re going to continue to keep the lines of communication open on our end,” he added.
Current and former American officials note China’s refusal to communicate runs counter to the behavior of other major powers, which, despite conflict and tensions, have agreed to establish protocols to at least convey messages.
“In the previous administration and in this administration, the secretary of state can pick up the phone and speak to his Russian counterpart anytime,” Joel Rayburn, the former US special envoy for Syria, told Voice of America.
“There always was that ability for the military, the senior military representatives, the uniformed military representatives, to speak to one another,” Rayburn, of the New America think tank in Washington, said.
“That was extremely useful in times when there were tensions or there were apparent possible red lines crossed and there could be warnings issued or defusing of tensions or clarification of intentions,” he added.
The United States and Russia have used at least two separate lines over the past decade. The first, created in October 2015, aimed initially to prevent conflict or collisions between Russian and US aircraft operating over the skies of Syria.
Washington and Moscow set up a second line in March 2022 following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, though the Pentagon said it had received little use.
And while there are no lines of communication between the US and Iran, Rayburn said even Tehran agreed to a method of ship-to-ship hailing after a series of run-ins and provocations by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard’s navy and American vessels in the Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz.
“You would hope that the Chinese, as a great power, would behave at least as responsibly in that way as the Iranian regime has done,” he said.
That Beijing and the PLA have rejected such overtures, dating to the administration of former US President Donald Trump, is “I think, reckless,” Rayburn stressed.
“[It] maybe indicates red flags that the Chinese wouldn’t want a channel in place to try to prevent tactical situations from escalating. That’s not good,” he said.
Other former US officials see the Chinese military’s refusal to set up lines of communication with the Pentagon more as a function of how the PLA operates as opposed to any malign intent.
“It is because they don’t have a good mechanism, I think, within their government for different parts of the government to exchange information with one another,” John Schaus, a former country director for China in the office of the secretary of defense, said.
“They need some time to compare notes, figure out what the story is, and align their messaging before they’re willing to even answer the phone to schedule a time to talk,” Schaus, of the Washington-based Center for Strategic and International Studies, added.
But as the number of incidents grows, the Chinese military may find itself having to adapt its communication style or face the consequences of unintentional escalation.
“Hopefully, I would say the current situation is a wake-up call for leadership in China,” Schaus said of the fallout from the downed Chinese spy balloon.
“If we were in a much more intense crisis, it could be very dangerous,” he added.
Voice of America’s Nike Ching also contributed to this report.
The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the official policy of China Factor.